Miami Condo Prices vs. Single-Family Homes: Why Values Split in 2026
Miami condo prices fell 3.2% as single-family values rose 3.7% in June 2026. See the inventory and carrying-cost forces behind the 6.9-point split.
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Mortgage and Treasury signals diverged.
The benchmark mortgage rate moved differently from the Treasury, keeping the mortgage spread at the center of lender pricing.
Execution can matter more than prediction.
Credit, property type, leverage, points and lock terms can create a wider difference than one week of market movement.
Inflation, labor data and market liquidity.
The next durable move will depend on whether macro data and mortgage-backed-security demand point in the same direction.
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Watch Treasury direction and whether the mortgage spread confirms the move.
Track inventory, contract activity and ownership costs by property type.
Follow financing, entitlements and construction execution across South Florida.